TennisEdge's AI bot is backing J. Duckworth +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.25 in M. Kecmanovic vs J. Duckworth (Almaty on 2026-10-19). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Kecmanovic | J. Duckworth |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.6% | 50.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
28.6% | 71.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.3% | 42.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kecmanovic | hard | 1657 | 104–111 | 215 |
| J. Duckworth | hard | 1674 | 199–138 | 337 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 31, 2026 | Paris | hard | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 19, 2026 | Almaty | hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | J. Duckworth | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
All Oct. 19, 2026 results & picks →