TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Inglis vs L. Bronzetti (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with M. Inglis favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Inglis | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.3% | 34.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.5% | 49.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Inglis | hard | 1671 | 154–102 | 256 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used