TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Huesler vs E. Butvilas (Gstaad on 2026-07-11) — the market is efficient, with M. Huesler favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Huesler | E. Butvilas |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.1% | 55.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.8% | 64.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Huesler | hard | 1594 | 103–91 | 194 |
| E. Butvilas | hard | 1578 | 81–57 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 24, 2026.
M. Huesler leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Gstaad | clay | M. Huesler | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. H. Rehberg | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. B. Torres | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | R. Carballes Baena | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. McDonald | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Huesler | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferreira Silva | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Echargui | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All July 11, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used