M. Echargui vs M. Zheng — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 11, 2026 · 17:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Echargui (moneyline) at 6.00 in M. Echargui vs M. Zheng (Cincinnati on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Echargui 4.45 · M. Zheng 1.18

Bot bet

M. Echargui (moneyline) @ 6.00 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Echargui · M. Zheng · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Echargui M. Zheng
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
22.5% 77.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
28.9% 71.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
31.6% 68.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
25.8% 74.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
21.0% 79.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Echargui hard1589 144–75219
M. Zheng hard1827 73–37110

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.

Head to head

M. Zheng leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 12, 2026CincinnatihardM. Zheng2 - 1

Recent form

M. Echargui

L N. Budkov Kjaer 2 - 1 Sept. 11, 2026
W B. Harris 2 - 1 Sept. 10, 2026
W L. Poullain 2 - 0 Sept. 7, 2026
L J. Pinnington Jones 1 - 2 Sept. 1, 2026
L H. Dellien 0 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026

M. Zheng

L A. Gea 2 - 3 Sept. 5, 2026
W Y. Bu 1 - 3 Sept. 3, 2026
W F. Marozsan 0 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
L L. Musetti 0 - 2 Aug. 18, 2026
W U. Humbert 0 - 2 Aug. 16, 2026

All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →

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