TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Dodig vs F. Ferreira Silva (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with F. Ferreira Silva favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Dodig | F. Ferreira Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.1% | 55.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dodig | clay | 1644 | 103–65 | 168 |
| F. Ferreira Silva | hard | 1657 | 124–79 | 203 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Dodig leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Dodig | 2 - 1 |
| W | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Opitz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | H. Squire | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | J. Kumstat | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Kicker | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Krumich | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used