TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kartal (moneyline) at 1.88 in M. Chwalinska vs S. Kartal (Wuhan on 2026-10-18). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Chwalinska | S. Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.5% | 66.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.2% | 54.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Chwalinska | hard | 1814 | 75–41 | 116 |
| S. Kartal | hard | 1894 | 121–36 | 157 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 18, 2026.
M. Chwalinska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 18, 2026 | Wuhan | hard | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 1 |
| W | S. Kartal | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Svitolina | 1 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | B. Bencic | 2 - 0 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All Oct. 18, 2026 results & picks →