TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Cecchinato vs T. Barrios Vera (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with T. Barrios Vera favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Cecchinato | T. Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
22.1% | 77.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.0% | 72.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.8% | 78.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
13.6% | 86.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cecchinato | clay | 1683 | 180–136 | 316 |
| T. Barrios Vera | clay | 1624 | 161–103 | 264 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
T. Barrios Vera leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Barrios Vera | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Muller | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | F. Agamenone | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Ajdukovic | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Simakin | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Sweeny | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used