TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bulgaru vs L. Romero Gormaz (Bastad on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with L. Romero Gormaz favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bulgaru | L. Romero Gormaz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.2% | 73.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.3% | 71.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.1% | 68.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.8% | 79.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bulgaru | clay | 1468 | 136–111 | 247 |
| L. Romero Gormaz | clay | 1645 | 174–119 | 293 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
L. Romero Gormaz leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Bastad | clay | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 |
| March 25, 2024 | Antalya Challenger Women | clay | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Monnet | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | C. W. Hennemann | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used