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M. Bulgaru vs A. Mintegi Del Olmo — Prediction & Analysis

Brescia (Italy) - Qualification · Brescia - 1/8-finals · June 18, 2026 · 10:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bulgaru vs A. Mintegi Del Olmo (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-18) — the market is efficient, with A. Mintegi Del Olmo favoured at 1.76.

Surface clay Odds M. Bulgaru 1.93 · A. Mintegi Del Olmo 1.76

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: M. Bulgaru · A. Mintegi Del Olmo · head-to-head record · Brescia (Italy) - Qualification

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bulgaru A. Mintegi Del Olmo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
32.0% 68.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
15.4% 84.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
40.2% 59.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
43.0% 57.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
47.7% 52.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bulgaru clay1468 136–111247
A. Mintegi Del Olmo clay1568 69–41110

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.

Head to head

A. Mintegi Del Olmo leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 18, 2026Brescia (Italy) - QualificationclayA. Mintegi Del Olmo2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bulgaru

L C. Monnet 0 - 2 July 28, 2026
L F. Jones 2 - 0 July 23, 2026
W C. W. Hennemann 2 - 1 July 21, 2026
L E. Pridankina 0 - 2 July 14, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 0 - 2 July 8, 2026

A. Mintegi Del Olmo

W G. Ce 2 - 0 Aug. 4, 2026
L A. Rus 2 - 0 July 29, 2026
L E. Gorgodze 2 - 1 July 20, 2026
L A. Soboleva 2 - 0 June 19, 2026
W M. Bulgaru 0 - 2 June 18, 2026

All June 18, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used