TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in J. Ruggeri vs M. Sherif (Brescia (Italy) - Qualification on 2026-06-18) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | J. Ruggeri | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
22.9% | 77.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.4% | 43.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.8% | 68.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.5% | 73.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ruggeri | clay | 1610 | 84–71 | 155 |
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Brescia (Italy) - Qualification | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Radivojevic | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. K. Toth | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Vrancken Peeters | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used