TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Brengle vs K. Cross (Newport on 2026-07-09) — the market is efficient, with M. Brengle favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Brengle | K. Cross |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.2% | 44.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.4% | 73.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.3% | 27.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Brengle | hard | 1555 | 113–68 | 181 |
| K. Cross | hard | 1657 | 90–66 | 156 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
M. Brengle leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 9, 2026 | Newport | grass | M. Brengle | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Jones | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Vagramov | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Naito | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | G. Minnen | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | K. Cross | 2 - 0 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | W. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used