M. Bouzkova vs L. Stefanini — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · WTA Cincinnati - 1/32-finals · Aug. 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Stefanini (moneyline) at 4.34 in M. Bouzkova vs L. Stefanini (Cincinnati on 2026-08-15). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Bouzkova 1.22 · L. Stefanini 3.75

Bot bet

L. Stefanini (moneyline) @ 4.34 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bouzkova · L. Stefanini · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bouzkova L. Stefanini
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
68.3% 31.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
72.1% 27.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
55.4% 44.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
68.2% 31.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
75.5% 24.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bouzkova hard1779 132–89221
L. Stefanini hard1737 126–83209

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 5, 2026.

Head to head

M. Bouzkova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 16, 2026CincinnatihardM. Bouzkova2 - 0
July 23, 2025Livesport Prague OpenclayM. Bouzkova2 - 0
Sept. 12, 2024WTA GuadalajarahardM. Bouzkova2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bouzkova

L I. Swiatek 2 - 0 Sept. 5, 2026
W H. Dart 0 - 2 Sept. 3, 2026
W E. Jacquemot 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
W I. Jovic 2 - 0 Aug. 19, 2026
L C. Gauff 2 - 0 Aug. 19, 2026

L. Stefanini

L J. Paolini 2 - 0 Sept. 2, 2026
W D. Yastremska 2 - 1 Aug. 30, 2026
W J. Pareja 0 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
W M. Brengle 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W A. Aksu 0 - 2 Aug. 24, 2026

All Aug. 15, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →