M. Bouzkova vs L. Stefanini — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · WTA Cincinnati - 1/32-finals · Aug. 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Stefanini (moneyline) at 4.34 in M. Bouzkova vs L. Stefanini (Cincinnati on 2026-08-15). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Bouzkova 1.22 · L. Stefanini 3.75

Bot bet

L. Stefanini (moneyline) @ 4.34 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bouzkova · L. Stefanini · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bouzkova L. Stefanini
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
68.3% 31.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
72.1% 27.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
55.4% 44.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
68.2% 31.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
75.5% 24.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bouzkova hard1810 137–92229
L. Stefanini hard1722 135–88223

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.

Head to head

M. Bouzkova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 16, 2026CincinnatihardM. Bouzkova2 - 0
July 23, 2025Livesport Prague OpenclayM. Bouzkova2 - 0
Sept. 12, 2024WTA GuadalajarahardM. Bouzkova2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bouzkova

L L. Fernandez 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
W S. Bejlek 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W A. Zakharova 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W K. Rakhimova 0 - 2 Oct. 19, 2026
L M. Chwalinska 1 - 2 Oct. 14, 2026

L. Stefanini

L A. Zakharova 1 - 0 Nov. 6, 2026
W S. Waltert 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W R. Zolotareva 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Aksu 1 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W I. M. Serban 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026

All Aug. 15, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →