TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bouzkova vs D. Vekic (London on 2026-06-10) — the market is efficient, with M. Bouzkova favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bouzkova | D. Vekic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.6% | 82.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.9% | 74.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouzkova | hard | 1747 | 128–86 | 214 |
| D. Vekic | hard | 1697 | 72–72 | 144 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 12, 2026 | London | grass | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 14, 2022 | Cincinnati | hard | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Raducanu | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 1 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
All June 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used