TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bolkvadze vs J. Vandromme (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with J. Vandromme favoured at 1.48.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bolkvadze | J. Vandromme |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.3% | 49.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.0% | 58.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.6% | 63.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bolkvadze | hard | 1555 | 111–84 | 195 |
| J. Vandromme | hard | 1778 | 66–19 | 85 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Bolkvadze leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Bolkvadze | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tomljanovic | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Wolff | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used