TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bolkvadze vs H. Kinoshita (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with H. Kinoshita favoured at 1.68.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bolkvadze | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.7% | 33.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.8% | 67.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.6% | 55.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bolkvadze | hard | 1555 | 111–84 | 195 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1598 | 80–60 | 140 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Bolkvadze leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Bolkvadze | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Tomljanovic | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Uchijima | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Okamura | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Hosogi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used