M. Bolkvadze vs B. Andreescu — Prediction & Analysis

Samsun · Samsun - 1/8-finals · Oct. 8, 2026 · 08:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bolkvadze +5.5 (game handicap) at 1.76 in M. Bolkvadze vs B. Andreescu (Samsun on 2026-10-08). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds M. Bolkvadze 3.50 · B. Andreescu 1.29

Bot bet

M. Bolkvadze +5.5 (game handicap) @ 1.76 · 1.25u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bolkvadze · B. Andreescu · head-to-head record · Samsun

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bolkvadze B. Andreescu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
38.6% 61.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
24.5% 75.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
18.7% 81.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
27.2% 72.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
26.9% 73.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bolkvadze hard1586 119–88207
B. Andreescu hard1771 59–3897

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.

Head to head

B. Andreescu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 8, 2026SamsunhardB. Andreescu2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bolkvadze

L V. Steiner 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
L H. Tan 0 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
W F. Jorge 2 - 0 Oct. 23, 2026
W B. Cengiz 1 - 2 Oct. 22, 2026
W N. Berecoechea 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026

B. Andreescu

W M. Bassols 1 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W L. Pigossi 2 - 0 Nov. 11, 2026
W R. Masarova 2 - 1 Nov. 10, 2026
W A. Tubello 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026

All Oct. 8, 2026 results & picks →

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