TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bolkvadze +2.5 (game handicap) at 1.96 in M. Bolkvadze vs A. Koevermans (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bolkvadze | A. Koevermans |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.3% | 39.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.3% | 56.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.7% | 52.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.9% | 58.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bolkvadze | hard | 1586 | 119–88 | 207 |
| A. Koevermans | hard | 1618 | 62–52 | 114 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.
A. Koevermans leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | US Open | hard | A. Koevermans | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Steiner | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | H. Tan | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Jorge | 2 - 0 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Cengiz | 1 - 2 | Oct. 22, 2026 |
| W | N. Berecoechea | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | L. Boskovic | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | E. Andreeva | 2 - 1 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 2 - 0 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Raina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Akli | 0 - 2 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →