M. Bolkvadze vs A. Koevermans — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · WTA US Open - Final · Aug. 27, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bolkvadze +2.5 (game handicap) at 1.96 in M. Bolkvadze vs A. Koevermans (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Bolkvadze 2.25 · A. Koevermans 1.62

Bot bet

M. Bolkvadze +2.5 (game handicap) @ 1.96 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Bolkvadze · A. Koevermans · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Bolkvadze A. Koevermans
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
46.7% 53.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.3% 39.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
43.3% 56.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
47.7% 52.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
41.9% 58.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Bolkvadze hard1569 113–85198
A. Koevermans hard1647 58–49107

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 28, 2026.

Head to head

A. Koevermans leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 28, 2026US OpenhardA. Koevermans2 - 0

Recent form

M. Bolkvadze

L A. Koevermans 0 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
W A. Ibragimova 0 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W E. Andreeva 0 - 2 Aug. 24, 2026
L D. Kasatkina 2 - 1 July 25, 2026
L A. Krueger 0 - 2 July 2, 2026

A. Koevermans

L C. McNally 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
W M. Bolkvadze 0 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
W L. Klimovicova 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W C. Monnet 2 - 0 Aug. 24, 2026
L J. Burrage 1 - 2 Aug. 12, 2026

All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →

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