TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bellucci -2.5 (game handicap) at 1.52 in M. Bellucci vs Y. Zhou (Shanghai on 2026-10-07). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bellucci | Y. Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
82.8% | 17.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
85.3% | 14.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.7% | 28.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.6% | 28.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bellucci | hard | 1788 | 173–108 | 281 |
| Y. Zhou | hard | 1591 | 87–83 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
Y. Zhou leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 7, 2026 | Shanghai | hard | Y. Zhou | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Rolland de Ravel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | L. Sonego | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Kumasaka | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | E. Ymer | 1 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
All Oct. 7, 2026 results & picks →