TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Bassols vs R. Montgomery (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with R. Montgomery favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bassols | R. Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
16.5% | 83.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.7% | 64.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
16.5% | 83.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.0% | 77.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bassols | hard | 1563 | 105–80 | 185 |
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
R. Montgomery leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Montgomery | 2 - 1 |
| March 4, 2024 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used