TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Bassols (moneyline) at 1.57 in M. Bassols vs M. L. Carle (Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification on 2026-07-17). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Bassols | M. L. Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.6% | 37.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.4% | 43.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bassols | clay | 1640 | 95–72 | 167 |
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1532 | 175–120 | 295 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
M. Bassols leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 11, 2026 | Sopo (Colombia) - Qualification | clay | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 |
| July 17, 2026 | Kitzbuhel (Austria) - Qualification | clay | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 24, 2022 | W25 Santo Domingo | hard | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Herazo Gonzalez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Bassols | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. V. Mediorreal | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Papamichail | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 0 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All July 17, 2026 results & picks →