M. Andreeva vs N. Bartunkova — Prediction & Analysis

Beijing · · Oct. 10, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Bartunkova (moneyline) at 2.82 in M. Andreeva vs N. Bartunkova (Beijing on 2026-10-10). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds M. Andreeva 1.36 · N. Bartunkova 3.10

Bot bet

N. Bartunkova (moneyline) @ 2.82 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: M. Andreeva · N. Bartunkova · head-to-head record · Beijing

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method M. Andreeva N. Bartunkova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
60.2% 39.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
64.6% 35.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
57.4% 42.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
60.8% 39.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
69.5% 30.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
M. Andreeva hard2007 108–42150
N. Bartunkova hard1836 79–43122

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.

Head to head

M. Andreeva leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 10, 2026BeijinghardM. Andreeva2 - 0
Sept. 5, 2026US OpenhardM. Andreeva2 - 0

Recent form

M. Andreeva

W A. Sabalenka 0 - 2 Nov. 11, 2026
W E. Svitolina 2 - 0 Nov. 9, 2026
L Q. Zheng 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026
W N. Bartunkova 2 - 0 Oct. 10, 2026
W E. Alexandrova 0 - 2 Oct. 8, 2026

N. Bartunkova

L A. Sasnovich 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L J. Paolini 2 - 0 Oct. 14, 2026
W L. Tagger 1 - 2 Oct. 13, 2026
L M. Andreeva 2 - 0 Oct. 10, 2026
W K. Muchova 0 - 2 Oct. 8, 2026

All Oct. 10, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →