TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in M. Andreeva vs Ka. Pliskova (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with M. Andreeva favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | M. Andreeva | Ka. Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.0% | 23.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.7% | 29.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.1% | 37.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.0% | 23.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
74.2% | 25.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Andreeva | hard | 1957 | 93–37 | 130 |
| Ka. Pliskova | hard | 1747 | 77–47 | 124 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 23, 2026.
M. Andreeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 15, 2024 | WTA Cincinnati | hard | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Linette | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| W | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used