TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Zaar vs A. Smith (Rabat on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with L. Zaar favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Zaar | A. Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
72.7% | 27.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.9% | 18.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.3% | 22.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
L. Zaar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Rabat | clay | L. Zaar | 2 - 0 |
| L | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Malygina | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Sieg | 2 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| L | Y. Yuan | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Gorska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | D. Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Ma | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | K. Collins | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used