TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Ferro vs E. Avanesyan (Rabat on 2026-05-17) — the market is efficient, with F. Ferro favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Ferro | E. Avanesyan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.6% | 62.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.8% | 66.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ferro | clay | 1649 | 68–54 | 122 |
| E. Avanesyan | clay | 1724 | 112–63 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
E. Avanesyan leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Rabat | clay | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 |
| April 16, 2024 | WTA Rouen | clay | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 |
| March 28, 2022 | Marbella | clay | E. Avanesyan | 2 - 1 |
| L | B. Palicova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | E. Bennemann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Basiletti | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Sakellaridi | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All May 17, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used