TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Tararudee vs L. Tagger (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with L. Tagger favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Tararudee | L. Tagger |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.8% | 58.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tararudee | hard | 1846 | 152–75 | 227 |
| L. Tagger | clay | 1775 | 51–20 | 71 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
L. Tararudee leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Tararudee | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 15, 2026 | WTA Australian Open | hard | L. Tararudee | 2 - 0 |
| W | E. Jones | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. Kovackova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used