L. Tararudee vs A. Krueger — Prediction & Analysis

Osaka · WTA Osaka - 1/8-finals · Oct. 21, 2026 · 01:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Tararudee +1.5 (game handicap) at 2.01 in L. Tararudee vs A. Krueger (Osaka on 2026-10-21). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds L. Tararudee 2.20 · A. Krueger 1.66

Bot bet

L. Tararudee +1.5 (game handicap) @ 2.01 · 0.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: L. Tararudee · A. Krueger · head-to-head record · Osaka

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method L. Tararudee A. Krueger
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.6% 52.4%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
46.9% 53.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
43.7% 56.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.1% 53.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
43.0% 57.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
L. Tararudee hard1759 159–85244
A. Krueger hard1770 103–90193

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.

Head to head

A. Krueger leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 21, 2026OsakahardA. Krueger2 - 0
Oct. 14, 2026WuhanhardA. Krueger2 - 1

Recent form

L. Tararudee

L K. Siniakova 2 - 1 Oct. 28, 2026
L A. Krueger 0 - 2 Oct. 21, 2026
W K. Quevedo 2 - 0 Oct. 19, 2026
L A. Krueger 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026
W D. Parry 0 - 2 Oct. 12, 2026

A. Krueger

L K. Siniakova 0 - 2 Oct. 25, 2026
W A. Li 1 - 2 Oct. 24, 2026
W T. Gibson 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W L. Tararudee 0 - 2 Oct. 21, 2026
W J. Tjen 2 - 0 Oct. 19, 2026

All Oct. 21, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →