TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Samsonova vs B. Krejcikova (Toronto on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with B. Krejcikova favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Samsonova | B. Krejcikova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.5% | 69.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
27.5% | 72.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.5% | 69.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
38.1% | 61.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Samsonova | hard | 1750 | 30–32 | 62 |
| B. Krejcikova | hard | 1893 | 82–51 | 133 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
L. Samsonova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2024 | WTA Strasbourg | clay | L. Samsonova | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Tjen | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | Xin. Wang | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Tagger | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | L. Havlickova | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used