AI match preview for L. Samson vs E. Mandlik (Sopo (Colombia) - Qualification on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. L. Samson is the market favourite at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Samson | E. Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.2% | 31.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Samson | clay | 1737 | 91–51 | 142 |
| E. Mandlik | clay | 1589 | 58–50 | 108 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
| W | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | C. Alves | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | Y. Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Bronzetti | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | J. Ortenzi | 2 - 1 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | S. Janicijevic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →