TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Romero Gormaz vs D. Semenistaja (Bastad on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with D. Semenistaja favoured at 1.85.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Romero Gormaz | D. Semenistaja |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.1% | 59.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.8% | 61.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.3% | 56.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
49.3% | 50.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Romero Gormaz | clay | 1645 | 174–119 | 293 |
| D. Semenistaja | clay | 1653 | 148–83 | 231 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
L. Romero Gormaz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Bastad | clay | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used