TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pigossi vs O. Dodin (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with O. Dodin favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pigossi | O. Dodin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.8% | 41.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.1% | 60.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pigossi | clay | 1597 | 122–95 | 217 |
| O. Dodin | hard | 1563 | 133–73 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
O. Dodin leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Dodin | 2 - 0 |
| W | B. Cengiz | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 1 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | N. Bains | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Appleton | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used