TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pigossi vs C. Liu (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with C. Liu favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pigossi | C. Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.3% | 43.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.5% | 35.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.8% | 79.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pigossi | clay | 1597 | 122–95 | 217 |
| C. Liu | hard | 1734 | 101–74 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
C. Liu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | C. Liu | 2 - 0 |
| W | B. Cengiz | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Lazaro Garcia | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 1 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Oz | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | M. S. Popa | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used