TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pigato vs A. Zantedeschi (Contrexeville on 2026-07-09) — the market is efficient, with L. Pigato favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pigato | A. Zantedeschi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.7% | 51.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.5% | 42.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pigato | clay | 1636 | 108–87 | 195 |
| A. Zantedeschi | clay | 1562 | 107–95 | 202 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 9, 2026.
L. Pigato leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 9, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | A. Zantedeschi | 1 - 0 |
| March 19, 2026 | W35 San Gregorio (Italy), Clay | — | L. Pigato | 2 - 0 |
| April 25, 2024 | ITF W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 5 Women | clay | L. Pigato | 1 - 0 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Vladson | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Fita Boluda | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
All July 9, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used