TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Pavlovic vs H. Wendelken (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with L. Pavlovic favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Pavlovic | H. Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
79.5% | 20.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
79.1% | 20.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.3% | 20.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pavlovic | clay | 1555 | 129–77 | 206 |
| H. Wendelken | hard | 1680 | 146–104 | 250 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
L. Pavlovic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 1 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Cassone | 0 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | V. Royer | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used