TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Noskova vs D. Parry (Berlin on 2026-06-18) — the market is efficient, with L. Noskova favoured at 1.29.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Noskova | D. Parry |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.4% | 57.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.1% | 29.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.8% | 41.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
69.6% | 30.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Noskova | hard | 1892 | 107–53 | 160 |
| D. Parry | clay | 1663 | 105–71 | 176 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
L. Noskova leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Berlin | grass | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 13, 2023 | WTA Cincinnati | hard | L. Noskova | 2 - 0 |
| June 9, 2023 | Makarska Challenger Women | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| May 19, 2023 | Paris Challenger Women | clay | D. Parry | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 26, 2022 | Tallinn | hard | L. Noskova | 2 - 1 |
| W | K. Muchova | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Day | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Hontama | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinskaya | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 0 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
All June 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used