TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs E. Lys (Berlin on 2026-06-18) — the market is efficient, with E. Svitolina favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | E. Lys |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
81.6% | 18.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.0% | 42.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.8% | 52.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
77.9% | 22.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.5% | 24.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| E. Lys | hard | 1782 | 89–49 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
E. Svitolina leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 18, 2026 | Berlin | grass | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| April 15, 2026 | Stuttgart | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | P. Udvardy | 1 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
All June 18, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used