TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Neumayer vs D. Lajovic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with D. Lajovic favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Neumayer | D. Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.5% | 47.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Neumayer | clay | 1671 | 185–123 | 308 |
| D. Lajovic | clay | 1639 | 99–80 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
D. Lajovic leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 10, 2025 | Cordenons | clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. C. Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Topo | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Poljicak | 2 - 1 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 0 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Rodesch | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used