TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Giovannini vs L. Stefanini (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with L. Stefanini favoured at 1.41.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Giovannini | L. Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.0% | 71.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
36.2% | 63.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Giovannini | clay | 1663 | 128–49 | 177 |
| L. Stefanini | hard | 1644 | 116–80 | 196 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 19, 2026.
L. Stefanini leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Stefanini | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Mazzola | 1 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Pace | 2 - 0 | June 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ku | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | M. Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Akli | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used