TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Giovannini vs E. Guerrero Alvarez (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with L. Giovannini favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Giovannini | E. Guerrero Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
84.0% | 16.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.2% | 15.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
84.1% | 15.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.3% | 21.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Giovannini | clay | 1663 | 128–49 | 177 |
| E. Guerrero Alvarez | hard | 1601 | 116–62 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 19, 2026.
L. Giovannini leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | L. Giovannini | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Mazzola | 1 - 2 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Pace | 2 - 0 | June 3, 2026 |
| L | L. Giovannini | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | V. Diatchenko | 0 - 2 | May 5, 2026 |
| L | M. Kubka | 2 - 0 | April 30, 2026 |
| W | K. Kroitor | 0 - 2 | April 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Amiraghyan | 0 - 2 | April 28, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used