TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Fruhvirtova vs E. Jones (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with L. Fruhvirtova favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Fruhvirtova | E. Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.4% | 38.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.0% | 47.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.3% | 62.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.0% | 48.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fruhvirtova | hard | 1624 | 94–82 | 176 |
| E. Jones | hard | 1735 | 90–45 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
E. Jones leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | E. Jones | 2 - 0 |
| March 20, 2026 | Miami | hard | E. Jones | 2 - 1 |
| L | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Zhao | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used