TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Sasnovich +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.73 in L. Fernandez vs A. Sasnovich (Ningbo on 2026-10-21). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Fernandez | A. Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.6% | 40.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.1% | 32.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fernandez | hard | 1934 | 139–90 | 229 |
| A. Sasnovich | hard | 1820 | 106–88 | 194 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
L. Fernandez leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 21, 2026 | Ningbo | hard | L. Fernandez | 2 - 1 |
| April 30, 2025 | Vic | clay | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 21, 2024 | WTA Tokyo | hard | L. Fernandez | 1 - 1 |
| Oct. 20, 2023 | WTA Nanchang | hard | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 |
| May 9, 2023 | WTA Rome | clay | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Rybakina | Walk Over | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 0 - 2 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Gibson | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Y. Cheuk | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
All Oct. 21, 2026 results & picks →