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L. Djere vs M. Houkes — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - Quarter-finals · June 22, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Djere vs M. Houkes (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with L. Djere favoured at 1.25.

Surface grass Odds L. Djere 1.25 · M. Houkes 3.75

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: L. Djere · M. Houkes · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method L. Djere M. Houkes
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
72.1% 27.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
52.5% 47.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
65.6% 34.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
75.0% 25.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
L. Djere clay1814 112–61173
M. Houkes clay1588 207–115322

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 21, 2026.

Head to head

L. Djere leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 22, 2026WimbledongrassL. Djere2 - 0

Recent form

L. Djere

L Q. Halys 0 - 2 July 21, 2026
W H. Dellien 0 - 2 July 19, 2026
W N. Waldner 0 - 2 July 18, 2026
L D. Rincon 1 - 2 July 10, 2026
W M. Schoenhaus 0 - 2 July 8, 2026

M. Houkes

L R. Carballes Baena 1 - 2 July 28, 2026
L P. Zahraj 1 - 2 July 24, 2026
W I. Lopez Morillo 2 - 0 July 23, 2026
W S. Popovic 2 - 0 July 22, 2026
L T. Gentzsch 2 - 1 July 17, 2026

All June 22, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used