TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Boulard vs Y. Kotliar (Contrexeville on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with Y. Kotliar favoured at 1.23.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Boulard | Y. Kotliar |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.0% | 80.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
15.4% | 84.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.0% | 35.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.3% | 68.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
24.7% | 75.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Boulard | clay | 1235 | 9–17 | 26 |
| Y. Kotliar | clay | 1511 | 71–48 | 119 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 23, 2026.
Y. Kotliar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | Y. Kotliar | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Lene | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | K. N. Kucikova | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | J. Mikulskyte | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | G. M. Dittmann | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | Y. Kotliar | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | D. Spiteri | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Prisacariu | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | A. Mazzola | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Hodzic | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used