TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in L. Bajraliu vs T. Korpatsch (Bastad on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with T. Korpatsch favoured at 1.18.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | L. Bajraliu | T. Korpatsch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
14.0% | 86.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.7% | 63.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.9% | 57.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
14.0% | 86.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.4% | 78.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bajraliu | clay | 1393 | 18–17 | 35 |
| T. Korpatsch | clay | 1772 | 122–71 | 193 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 7, 2026.
T. Korpatsch leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Bastad | clay | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Cortez Llorca | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | A. Lew Yan Foon | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. Bartashevich | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Cengiz | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Weckerle | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Sherif | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Stusek | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used