TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Ka. Pliskova (moneyline) at 4.08 in Ka. Pliskova vs D. Shnaider (US Open on 2026-09-01). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Ka. Pliskova | D. Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.2% | 58.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.9% | 61.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.8% | 72.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka. Pliskova | hard | 1735 | 80–51 | 131 |
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1890 | 105–65 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.
D. Shnaider leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 2, 2026 | US Open | hard | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| July 1, 2024 | WTA Wimbledon | grass | D. Shnaider | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Shnaider | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | H. Vandewinkel | 1 - 2 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 2 - 0 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Aug. 5, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Townsend | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
All Sept. 1, 2026 results & picks →