TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Volynets vs E. Mandlik (Newport on 2026-07-10) — the market is efficient, with K. Volynets favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Volynets | E. Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.3% | 37.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
42.1% | 57.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.0% | 24.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Volynets | hard | 1758 | 111–90 | 201 |
| E. Mandlik | hard | 1604 | 98–72 | 170 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
K. Volynets leads 4–0 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2026 | Newport | grass | K. Volynets | 2 - 1 |
| Jan. 10, 2026 | WTA Hobart | hard | K. Volynets | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 1, 2024 | Canberra Challenger Women | hard | K. Volynets | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 24, 2021 | W25 Boca Raton, FL | hard | K. Volynets | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Vidmanova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | I. Shymanovich | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabunshchyk | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All July 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used