TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Uchida vs B. Tomic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with B. Tomic favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Uchida | B. Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.1% | 62.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.0% | 67.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.4% | 76.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
B. Tomic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | J. Kennedy | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | Q. Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | M. Tobon | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used