TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Smith vs J. P. Ficovich (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with K. Smith favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Smith | J. P. Ficovich |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.0% | 41.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
43.3% | 56.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
70.6% | 29.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | hard | 1612 | 184–112 | 296 |
| J. P. Ficovich | clay | 1494 | 121–103 | 224 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
K. Smith leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | K. Smith | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Inchauspe | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Gonzalez Fernandez | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Singh | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | N. McDonald | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | M. Alkaya | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Ouakaa | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Galarneau | 2 - 1 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | O. Baris | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Smith | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used