TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Sebov vs V. Jimenez Kasintseva (Caldas da Rainha on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with V. Jimenez Kasintseva favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Sebov | V. Jimenez Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.5% | 61.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
34.6% | 65.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
45.0% | 55.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sebov | hard | 1565 | 140–97 | 237 |
| V. Jimenez Kasintseva | hard | 1608 | 79–69 | 148 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 25, 2026.
| L | J. Avdeeva | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. A. Teixido Garcia | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | F. Jorge | 0 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Parks | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →