TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Sebov vs C. Brace (Newport on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with K. Sebov favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Sebov | C. Brace |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.4% | 39.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.7% | 59.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.4% | 39.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
C. Brace leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Newport | grass | K. Sebov | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 10, 2025 | W100 Edmond, OK | hard | C. Brace | 2 - 0 |
| June 7, 2025 | W75 Sumter, SC | hard | C. Brace | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | M. A. Teixido Garcia | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Soares | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Sema | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used