TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in K. Scott vs M. Stoiana (Newport on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with M. Stoiana favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | K. Scott | M. Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
21.6% | 78.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
4.8% | 95.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
21.6% | 78.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.5% | 79.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scott | hard | 1472 | 75–69 | 144 |
| M. Stoiana | hard | 1629 | 61–37 | 98 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
M. Stoiana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Newport | grass | M. Stoiana | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Schoppe | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | S. Leon | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Stoiana | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | S. Broadus | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ku | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Pareja | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. S. Rogers | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used